9/6/07

First Week's Computer Ballot

Well, the day has come to see the rankings. But, I am going to wait a few weeks until we can see some actual averages before I show you a good chunk of the rankings. But I do have some thoughts on what I found from Week 1.

While I was doing my laundry the other day, after I had entered all the game data for this week, I got to thinking. If everyone's stats are compared to the other teams averages for the year shouldn't ever team's score be the same? Because Team A ran 100 yards on Team B. Team A's running was compared to Team B's season average run defense of 100 yards. 100/100 = 1. So, all the teams should be ranked exactly the same. Yes, but no. There are some things that separated teams. One of those is dividing by zero. If a team gave up zero fumbles, then it must be divided by zero which is infinity, so I just assumed their score to be zero (every team WILL have at least one fumble or interception, so it shouldn't be a big deal). Next, how DIAA is done, every team is grouped into a stock DIAA opponent which is an average of all the DIAA stats for the whole year. Thus making anyone who played a DIAA team able to have some differing scores. Pretty exciting, huh?

But because of how heavily win percentage is, the ranking are definitely divided. If you won, you are about 40 points ahead of those that lost. And, for all those Tech fans out there, the Jackets are 23. Its Nice!

So here are the top 4 teams of this weeks rankings, and do not laugh it is only the first week.

Ranking Team Win
Loss Conference Score
1 Maryland 1 - 0 ACC 148.9
2 Fresno St. 1 - 0 WAC 139.26
3 Cincinnati 1 - 0 Big East 132.01
4 Air Force 1 - 0 MWC 130.01

So, Maryland is the best team in the country... right. Well, they at least they didn't let a DIAA team score/run on them very much. Woo Hoo. And for the bottom two. You probably guessed it, but NO ONE answered the poll question. Rice and Michigan. Both were beaten by DIAA teams, and apparently Rice got beaten alittle worse. Oh well, maybe next year for that undefeated season Owls.

One other note. Dan sent me a hilarious quote from an article from ESPN's Page 2. It is about football fan rules.

From Rule 1:
Nor may you root for Harvard and Yale, any more than you could matriculate at both places, unless you're really, really smart, in which case you're probably building prototype military surveillance nanobots in your MIT dorm room, and/or devising a computerized ranking system* to shame Jeff Sagarin.

* Note: In scenario No. 2, you are allowed to root for the spread. Just make sure Skynet never becomes self-aware
Here is the link

Yeah, well, what can I say. I love the comments. Keep them coming. I will also get a new poll up soon. So everyone vote. I know there is at least one person out there reading this. She said I had a good last post.

3 comments:

Theresa Garcia said...

Just for the record, I think this blog is good too. :)

Unknown said...

Is there a cap for out scoring? Does it matter by how much you win?

Unknown said...

Oh I remember the good ol' days.... The Braves were making the playoffs, GT was somewhat respectable in sports, and you were updating your blog regularly. My, my.... times have changed.